One Sorry Blog

Week 5 - The Second Quarter Begins

By Ace Cummins

The first quarter of the NFL season ended with a bang. Despite Ace’s rather average performance during the first three weeks of the NFL season, The Big Schelp’s one and only Clarita sacked up and convinced her special man friend to lay some ducats down on a four team parlay. Against the founder of OSB’s judgement, Clarita forced the issue and sure enough, as the Pats wrapped up their easy win over the Bungals on Monday night, The Big Schelp’s account grew $300 larger. Clarita has some big balls (and now a bigger wallet).

How did she come to such a decision? Well, she saw the Ace and a certain Boston-centric writer agreed on four games (somewhat of a rarity) and saw dollar signs. The only game that the Bean Town Boy and I disagreed on was my five-star pick (Pittsburgh) - my only loss last week. Great job Clarita. May you be an inspiration to OSB readers. Simple cross referencing (i.e. trends - last week’s theme - way to go with it!) paid off.

Week 5 picks…

Dolphins @ Texans (-5.5)
Despite still being ravished by injuries, the Texas will take care of the hapless Fish at home. Miami’s defense was atrocious last week, and I think could have gained 100 yards on the ground against them. Houston is a solid team and an even better home team. This is the match-up we’ve been waiting for. Texans by two TDs.

Panthers (+3) @ Saints
Everyone still wants to believe in the Saints. If any other team in the NFL put up the Saint’s number’s in their first three games I don’t think they would still be favorites. For instance, New Orleans is scoring 12.9 points per game and giving up 34.4 points per game. For the math deficient, that is losing by an average of over three TDs per game. But America still believes. Heck, I still want to believe. But numbers don’t lie. I’ll take points against those numbers any day, and twice on Sunday.

Cowboys (-10) @ Bills
A very good and very hot team hits the road to take on a very young, inexperienced and below average team. Seems like a no-brainer. Yes ten points is a lot to lay, but don’t fret. The boys have been great to gamblers all year. Don’t be scared of a big line when the game could easily be out of hand after the first quarter.

Falcons @ Titans (-
The Titans came into the season off of everyone’s radar. Their mediocre roster has kept them there. However, Vince Young is a winner… plain and simple. The Titans are well coached and believe in themselves. If the spread were under a touchdown this would be my five-star pick. However, despite Tennessee’s penchant for close games, this one won’t be.

Bears @ Packers (-3) *****Five-Star Pick of the Week*****
Chicago is 0-fer ATS this year. Green Bay is undefeated ATS to start 2007. The Bears can have the three points. They will need a minor miracle to win this game. Favre vs. Griese. Laughable.

Oh, and if you need to know… The Bean Town Boy and I agree on three of the above five games. Which ones? Well, you’ll have to do some homework of your own to find out.

*Three- team parlays pay 6-to-1 in case you were wondering.*

Ace Cummins is 20-15-4 overall and 7-2 on 5-star picks. Please send all hate mail, questions, fantasy football lineup dilemmas and 10% of your profits to ace.osb@gmail.com.